Revision as of 20:43, 13 April 2018

E-commerce

Amazon's e-commerce 'bridge'

Vishal Dutta and Mugdha Variyar, This is how Amazon could boost trade ties between India and Pakistan, April 11, 2018: The Times of India

Indian merchants registered as sellers on Seattle-based online retail giant Amazon could soon find more buyers in Pakistan, if the company’s bid to increase its holding in a Pakistan-based fashion portal Clicky.pk proves successful, according to four people aware of the ongoing negotiations between Amazon and Clicky.pk.

Amazon already owns about 33% stake in Clicky.pk through its acquisition in 2017 of online retailer Souq, which is based in Dubai. Souq had invested in the Pakistani company in late 2016. “If a transaction (between Amazon and Cicky.pk) goes through Indian merchants can sell more goods in Pakistan, which can be routed through Dubai, where Souq is based,” said one of the people cited above.

Pakistan has a negative list of about 1,200 goods that cannot be imported from India. This has encouraged informal trade between the two countries routed largely through Dubai and occasionally Afghanistan.

According to a 2016 ICRIER paper, informal trade between the two South Asian neighbours for fiscal 2013 was pegged at $4.7 billion, dominated by exports from India. The formal trade between the two countries that year was $2.6 billion and was down to $2.3 billion in fiscal 2017.

“Several Indian FMCG products are popular in Pakistan. But a major chunk of products are raw material, unbranded food item, clothing and jewellery,” the sources told ET. Typically, most of these products are routed through Dubai and the big traders in Karachi who import these products, from where they are distributed across the country, the person added.

Amazon declined to comment for this story. Clicky.pk did not reply to email queries from ET.

For Amazon, raising its stake in Clicky.pk will also provide the American company with a firmer foothold in a market that China’s Alibaba is also eyeing keenly. Alibaba, is also in talks to pick up a stake in Rocket Internet-owned Daraz, one of the largest online commerce platforms in Pakistan, according to a Bloomberg report last month.

Clicky.pk competes with players like Daraz. Pakistan’s online commerce market was estimated to be worth $100 million in 2017.

Clicky.pk had raised nearly $1million by selling 33% stake to Souq in late 2016. In 2017 Amazon completed the acquisition of Souq for $580 million. The deal between Souq and Clicky.pk was not reported till now.

Experts are of the view that Amazon will look to consolidate its presence in the Indian subcontinent and the Middle East. “These three geographical locations — India, Dubai and Pakistan — makes sense for Amazon to scale up. Amazon will make entry into multiple Asian countries, a new strategy to increase its volume, optimise its sourcing and reduce single-country dependence for revenue flow,” said one of the sources mentioned above.

E-commerce in Pakistan is set to cross $1 billion by 2020 from $100 million last year, according to a recently published report by the Pakistan Telecommunication Authority (PTA). In comparison, India’s online retail market was pegged between $18 billion and $20 billion in 2017 with overall ecommerce market, which includes areas like online travel, estimated to be worth over $33 billion.

"Both Alibaba and Amazon will be interested in Pakistan, which has 70% mobile phone penetration in its 220 million population," said Adam Ghaznavi, a serial entrepreneur who had led Rocket Internet's Easy Taxi and ecommerce site Kaymu.pk in Pakistan. "The China Pakistan Economic Corridor is also bringing in lot of Chinese investment to the country, which will attract investors," he added.

Most-Favoured-Nation (MFN) status

India's top exports to Pakistan, 2016

India- Pakistan trade, 1996-2015
The Times of India

Pakistan- India trade, 2001- 16, against the background of Pakistan’s terror attacks on India
[ The Times of India]

India may drag Pak to WTO on MFN, dispute Sep 28 2016 : The Times of India

A meeting convened PM Modi explored the option of dragging Pakistan to the World Trade Organisation's (WTO) dispute resolution body for refusing to reciprocate for 20 years India's granting of the Most Favoured Nation status to Pakistan. But New Delhi might not consider withdrawal of Pakistan's status, government sources said. What is Most-Favoured-Nation (MFN) status?

Under the World Trade Organization (WTO) agreements, countries cannot normally discriminate among their trading partners. If a country grants another country a special favour (e.g. lower customs duty on imports) then it has to offer the same favour to all WTO members.

Each member treats all the other members equally as “most-favoured“ trading partners.

The benefits of MFN status is available only to WTO members.

However, countries can enter into preferential trade agreements and free trade agreements to grant access and favours over and above MFN.

India-Pakistan MFN India granted Pakistan MFN status in 1996, and Pa kistan is yet to reciprocate. Trade between the two countries never really normalized. Total annual official trade between the two countries was $2.5 billion in 2015-16, whereas annual unofficial trade is estimated to be nearly $15 billion. A section of Pakistan's industry feels Indian goods will swamp Pakistan if Islamabad grants MFN status to India. There have been talks of granting Non-Discriminatory Market Access (NDMA) to India, which experts believe is MFN in another name.

Can India withdraw MFN status to Pakistan? India can move WTO and request for withdrawal of MFN status to Pakistan, citing breach of security . Article 21(b) (III) of WTO rules says that “nothing in this agreement shall ... prevent any WTO member from taking any action it considers necessary for the protection of its...security interest taken in time of war or other emergency in international relations.“

What would happen if India withdraws MFN status?

Exports from India will be choked, hurting consumers in some sectors. Trade through the Attari Wagah border will be hurt. According to a Ficci survey , steel costs in Pakistan would go down by 55%, engineering goods by 26%, bicycles by 20% and pharmaceuticals by 35% if they are imported from India through direct trade channels. Fruits and vegetables would be cheaper by 40% and sugar by 30%. The survey had said that liberalized trade in agriculture would help generate 2.7 lakh jobs in India and 1.7 lakh in Pakistan.

See also

Pakistan- India relations

Pakistan- India economic relations

Pakistan- India: issues

Pakistan- India: Cease-fire and its violations

Nuclear weapons testing: India- Pakistan

Nuclear arsenals: India, Pakistan

Russia- India trade relations

and many more articles, especially about the 1965 and 1971 wars, The Kargil war of 1999, 1947...