The population of India: changes, 1901- onwards

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Contents

1901-2011

Census Years

Population

Decadal growth

Average annual exponential growth rate (percent)

Progressive growth rate over 1901 (percent)

Absolute

Percent

1901

23,83,96,327

 

-

-

-

1911

25,20,93,390

1,36,97,063

5.75

0.56

5.75

1921

25,13,21,213

-7,22,177

(0.31)

-0.03

5.42

1931

27,89,77,238

2,76,56,025

11.00

1.04

17.02

1941

31,86,60,580

3,96,83,342

14.22

1.33

33.67

1951

36,10,88,090

4,24,27,510

13.31

1.25

51.47

1961

43,92,34,771

7,81,46,681

21.64

1.96

84.25

1971

54,81,59,652

10,89,24,881

24.80

2.20

129.94

1981

68,33,29.097

13,51,69,445

24.66

2.22

186.64

1991

84,64,21,039

16,30,91,942

23.87

2.16

255.05

2001

1,02,87,37,436

18,23,16,397

21.54

1.97

331.52

2011

1,21,01,93,422

18,14,55,986

17.64

1.64

407.64

 

1951-2011

December 22, 2014: The Planning Commission]

Population of India (1951-2011))- (in thousands)


Sl No

States/Union Territorries

1951

1961

1971

1981

1991

2001

2011

1

Andaman & Nicobar Islands

31

64

115

189

281

356

381

2

Andhra Pradesh

31,115

35,983

43,503

53,551

66,508

76,210

84,581

3

Arunachal Pradesh d

na

337

468

632

865

1,098

1,384

4

Assam a

8,029

10,837

14,625

18,041

22,414

26,656

31,206

5

Bihar

29,085

34,841

42,126

52,303

64,531

82,999

104,099

6

Chandigarh

24

120

257

452

642

901

1,055

7

Chhatisgarh

7,457

9,154

11,637

14,010

17,615

20,834

25,545

8

Dadra & Nagar Haveli

42

58

74

104

138

220

344

9

Daman & Diu

49

37

63

79

102

158

243

10

Delhi

1,744

2,659

4,066

6,220

9,421

13,851

16,788

11

Goa

547

590

795

1,008

1,170

1,348

1,459

12

Gujarat

16,263

20,633

26,697

34,086

41,310

50,671

60,440

13

Haryana

5,674

7,591

10,036

12,922

16,464

21,145

25,351

14

Himachal Pradesh

2,386

2,812

3,460

4,281

5,171

6,078

6,865

15

Jammu & Kashmir b

3,254

3,561

4,617

5,987

7,837

10,144

12,541

16

Jharkhand

9,697

11,606

14,227

17,612

21,844

26,946

32,988

17

Karnataka

19,402

23,587

29,299

37,136

44,977

52,851

61,095

18

Kerala

13,549

16,904

21,347

25,454

29,099

31,841

33,406

19

Lakshadweep

21

24

32

40

52

61

64

20

Madhya Pradesh

18,615

23,218

30,017

38,169

48,566

60,348

72,627

21

Maharashtra

32,003

39,554

50,412

62,783

78,937

96,879

112,374

22

Manipur c

578

780

1,073

1,421

1,837

2,294

2,856

23

Meghalaya

606

769

1,012

1,336

1,775

2,319

2,967

24

Mizoram

196

266

332

494

690

889

1,097

25

Nagaland

213

369

516

775

1,210

1,990

1,979

26

Orissa

14,646

17,549

21,945

26,370

31,660

36,805

41,974

27

Puducherry

317

369

472

604

808

974

1,248

28

Punjab

9,161

11,135

13,551

16,789

20,282

24,359

27,743

29

Rajasthan

15,971

20,156

25,766

34,262

44,006

56,507

68,548

30

Sikkim

138

162

210

316

406

541

611

31

Tamil Nadu

30,119

33,687

41,199

48,408

55,859

62,406

72,147

32

Tripura

639

1,142

1,556

2,053

2,757

3,199

3,674

33

Uttar Pradesh

60,274

70,144

83,849

105,137

132,062

166,198

199,812

34

Uttarakhand

2,946

3,611

4,493

5,726

7,051

8,489

10,086

35

West Bengal

26,300

34,926

44,312

54,581

68,078

80,176

91,276

ALL INDIA c

361,088

439,235

548,160

683,329

846,421

1,028,737

1,210,855


Source : Office of the Registrar General of India, Ministry of Home Affairs & Economic Survey 2013-14.

Notes:

a The 1981 Census could not be held in Assam. Total population for 1981 has been worked out by Interpolation.

b The 1991 Census could not be held in Jammu & Kashmir. Total population for 1991 has been worked out by Interpolation.

c India and Manipur figures include estimated population for those of the three sub-divisions viz. Mao Maram, Paomata and Purul Senapati districts of Manipur.

d Census conducted for the first time in 1961.

1960-2010

The Population of India , 1960-2010
The World Bank

See graphic:

The Population of India, 1960-2010

2001

Age Structure And Marital Status

CensusIndia


Age- sex structure is one of the most important characteristics of population composition. Almost all population characteristics vary significantly with age. Age statistics form an important component of population analysis, as most of the analysis is based on age-sex structure of the population. The usefulness of age data is more noticeable when it is cross classified by variables like marital status, literacy educational attainment, economic activity which vary with age in different patterns.

Apart from purely demographic concerns, the age- sex data structure is required for age specific analysis of data for planning, scientific, technical and commercial purposes. The dependency ratio, which is the ratio of economically active to economically inactive persons, is dependent on age composition.

India has one of the largest proportions of population in the younger age groups in the world. 35.3% of the population of the country has been in the age group 0-14 years at the Census 2001. 41% of the population account for less than 18 years of age.

Census 2001 data on marital status of persons show that out of over a billion population of the country, 513 million (49.8%) have reported ad ‘Never married’, mainly due to high proportion of young people. The ‘Married’ constitute about 45.6% of the total population.


POPULATION IN DIFFERENT AGE GROUPS AND THEIR PROPORTIONS TO TOTAL POPULATION


Age group Population Percentage
All Ages 1,028,610,328 100.0
0 - 4 110,447,164 10.7
5 - 9 128,316,790 12.5
10 - 14 124,846,858 12.1
15- 19 100,215,890 9.7
20 - 24 89,764,132 8.7
25 - 44 284,008,819 27.6
45 - 64 139,166,661 13.5
65 - 79 41,066,824 4.0
80+ 8,038,718 0.8
Less Than 18 422,808,543 41.1
Less than 21 492,193,906 47.9
Age no stated 2,738,472 0.3
Source : C2 and C14 Table, India, Census of India 2001.


The number ‘Widowed’ persons, mostly females, are more than 44 million in the country. In the age group 15-49 years, the prime child bearing age group, 81.4% of the women are married. This percentage is high due to lower female age at marriage in many parts of the country.


POPULATION BY MARITAL STATUS AND SEX: INDIA – 2001


MARITAL STATUS NUMBER OF PERSONS (IN '000) NUMBER OF PERSONS (IN '000) NUMBER OF PERSONS (IN '000) PERCENTAGE PERCENTAGE
...... Persons Males Females Males Females
Total 1,028,610 532,157 496,454 100 100
Never Married 512,668 289,619 223,048 49.8 54.4
Married 468,593 231,820 236,773 45.6 43.6
Widowed 44,019 9,729 34,290 4.3 1.8
Divorced / Separated 3,331 988 2,343 0.3 0.2
Source : C2 and C14 Table, India, Census of India 2001


The following graph present the percentage of males and females to total males and females by their marital status in India as per Census 2001. As per Census 2001, the mean age at marriage for females, who married in the last five years, has been 23.5 years in the country. Among females the mean age at marriage varied from 17.8 years (Rajsthan) to 24.0 years (Goa), while among males it varied from 20.5 years (Rajsthan) to 28.2 years (Goa).

2001> 2011

Population Density (Per Sq. Km.)

NITI AAYOG


Area Name Population density (Persons per sq km)
2001 2011
India 325 382
STATES .... ....
Andhra Pradesh # 277 308
Arunachal Pradesh 13 17
Assam 340 397
Bihar 881 1,102
Chhattisgarh 154 189
Goa 364 394
Gujarat 258 308
Haryana 478 573
Himachal Pradesh 109 123
Jammu & Kashmir 100 124
Jharkhand 338 414
Karnataka 276 319
Kerala 819 859
Madhya Pradesh 196 236
Maharashtra 315 365
Manipur 97 122
Meghalaya 103 132
Mizoram 42 52
Nagaland 120 119
Odisha 236 269
Punjab 484 550
Rajasthan 165 201
Sikkim 76 86
Tamil Nadu 480 555
Tripura 305 350
Uttar Pradesh 690 828
Uttarakhand 159 189
West Bengal 903 1,029
UNION TERRITORIES .... ....
Andaman & Nicobar Islands 43 46
Chandigarh 7,900 9,252
Dadra & Nagar Haveli 449 698
Daman & Diu 1,413 2,169
Delhi 9,340 11,297
Lakshadweep 1,895 2,013
Puducherry 2,034 2,598

2011

See graphic:

Population, as in 2011

Population, as in 2011; The Times of India, August 14, 2017

Projected population of Indian states, India: 2011-2101

February 2, 2018: The Times of India

Projected population of Indian states and India as a whole- 2011-81
From: February 2, 2018: The Times of India
Projected population
i) of Indian states and India as a whole in 2081 -2101;
ii) the share of the three principal religions of India in the country’s population in 2050; and
iii) % share of top 10 states in total population in 2011 and 2101
From: February 2, 2018: The Times of India


See graphics:

1. Projected population of Indian states and India as a whole- 2011-81

2. Projected population
i) of Indian states and India as a whole in 2081 -2101;
ii) the share of the three principal religions of India in the country’s population in 2050; and
iii) % share of top 10 states in total population in 2011 and 2101


The 1.89 billionth Indian will never be born. India’s population is expected to peak at 1.88 billion 63 years from now. But some states will start shrinking much before that. Kerala and Tamil Nadu will reach their peak in just two decades. At the other end of the spectrum are states such as Bihar, which won’t start shrinking even by 2101, the last year for which we studied the population projection


2016: India vis-à-vis other countries

The population of India vis-à-vis that of 12 major countries;
How the population of Indian states compares with that of other countries
From: April 24, 2018: The Times of India

See graphic:

The population of India vis-à-vis that of 12 major countries;
How the population of Indian states compares with that of other countries

India’s least and most populous vis-à-vis US states

2011: The population of India’s least and most populous vis-à-vis states in the USA
From: November 2, 2018: The Times of India


See graphic:

2011: The population of India’s least and most populous vis-à-vis states in the USA


2022

UN estimates

Esha Roy , Anuradha Mascarenhas, April 20, 2023: The Indian Express

Demographic indicators, UNFPA's State of Population Report 2023
From: Esha Roy , Anuradha Mascarenhas, April 20, 2023: The Indian Express

The latest report also shows that India's total fertility rate (births per woman in the reproductive age) is estimated at 2.0.


With its population estimated to touch 142.86 crore by the middle of this year, marginally ahead of China at 142.57 crore, India is on track to be the world’s most populous country, according to the UNFPA’s State of World Population Report 2023.

According to the report, 68 per cent of India’s total population is between the ages of 15 and 64 years, which is considered the working population of a country. About 25 per cent is between 0-14 years; 18 per cent between 10 and 19 years, 26 percent between 10 and 24 years, and 7 per cent above 65 years. Last year, China remained the most populous country with an estimated 144.8 crore people while India’s population was estimated at 140.6 crore.

Another UN Report, World Population Prospects 2022, that was released in July last year, had said that by 2050, India’s population would reach 166.8 crore, far exceeding China’s declining population at 131.7 crore. In 1950, India was at 86.1 crore, while China was at 114.4 crore. According to the UN projections, India’s population is expected to grow for the next three decades after which it will begin declining.

While the global population touched 8 billion last November, the new UNFPA report said it is growing at its slowest rate since 1950, having fallen under 1 per cent in 2020. According to the report, the estimated global population is 8,045 million, of which 65 per cent is between 15-64 years, 24 per cent between 10-24 years, and 10 per cent above 65 years.


Key India insights


According to the report, the average life expectancy at birth for males in India is 71 years while for females it is 74 years. India’s total fertility rate (births per woman in the reproductive age) is estimated at 2.0.

The report indicates that population anxieties are widespread and governments are increasingly adopting policies aimed at raising, lowering or maintaining fertility rates. Addressing a virtual press conference ahead of the release of the report, Dr Natalia Kanem, Executive Director, UNFPA, said: “But efforts to influence fertility rates are very often ineffective and can erode women’s rights. Women’s bodies should not be held captive to population targets.”

“To build thriving and inclusive societies, regardless of population size, we must radically rethink how we talk about and plan for population change,” she said. “Instead of asking how fast people are reproducing, leaders should ask whether individuals, especially women, are able to freely make their own reproductive choices – a question whose answer, too often, is no,” Kanem said.

As part of the report, a public survey was commissioned by UNFPA and conducted by YouGov, that asked a representative sample of 7,797 people across eight countries – India, Brazil, Egypt, France, Hungary, Japan, Nigeria, and the United States – for their views on population issues.

For India, the total sample size was 1,007 and the survey was carried out online. The analysis has been weighted and is representative of a national urban sample of adults in India (aged 18+).

On identifying population-related matters of greatest importance, 63 per cent of Indians identified economic issues as the top concerns. This was followed by environmental concerns at 46 per cent, and sexual and reproductive health and rights, and human rights concerns at 30 per cent.

The respondents held that India’s population was too large and fertility rates too high. There was no significant difference between the views of men and women on national fertility rates.

The Indian survey findings also suggested that population anxieties have seeped into large portions of the general public.

While there is an increase in absolute numbers, the proportion of young people, which was over 30 per cent of the population in the 2011 Census, is expected to fall to 26.5 per cent, according to the UN’s 2022 projections.

“India outstripping China is no surprise and has been anticipated for some time now. But what has expedited the process is the fact that China’s growth has been slowing. Earlier this year, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) in China reported that it had 850,000 fewer people in 2022 than the previous year,’’ Poonam Muttreja, Executive Director, Population Foundation of India.

“What is significant is that India is in a unique position in which the young and working population is larger than the population which needs care (children and the elderly), unlike countries such as Japan with a declining population and an increasing elderly population. Such countries are, and will be, in dire need of skilled labour, and this is something that India can provide, capitalising on our demographic dividend,” said Muttreja.

Projections

2020-2100

India will overtake China in 2027, but start to shrink from 2060 onwards; Estimates, 1950- 2020; medium- variant projections, 2020-2100
From: June 19, 2019: The Times of India

See graphic:

India will overtake China in 2027, but start to shrink from 2060 onwards; Estimates, 1950- 2020; medium- variant projections, 2020-2100

See also

The population of India: changes, 1901- onwards

Population, India: 2011

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