Karnataka: Assembly elections, 2018

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Contents

The issues in the 2018 Assembly elections

Ahinda To Gen Z, All You Need To Know About The K’taka Poll, April 22, 2018: The Times of India


What will decide the vote in Karnataka, the last among large states with Congress at the helm? Will the SC/ST Act’s dilution impact polls, will CM Siddaramaiah’s regionalism pitch help him or is anti-incumbency too strong? The A to Z in the run-up to the southern state’s 14th election to its 224-seat House — current House has 122 Cong MLAs and 40 each of BJP and JD(S)


A HINDA The backbone and heart of Congress chief minster Siddaramaiah’s welfare schemes, on the lines of those running in neighbouring Tamil Nadu as well. Ahinda is a Kannada acronym for alpasankhyataru (minorities), hindulidavaru mattu (backward classes) and dalitaru (Dalits). Congress’s key poll plank to retain state

BANGALORE REGION: One of the state’s six regions, Bengaluru has been traditionally BJP turf. Winning margins here were the highest on average in 2013. There’s anger over tawdry infra and Siddaramaiah government’s failure to nab anti-Hindutva activist Gauri Lankesh’s killers and rationalist MM Kalburgi’s murderers

CASTE: Over 60% of the 6.5cr population are minorities, OBCs, SCs and STs

17-19% Upper caste Lingayats (BS Yedyurappa, BJP) (Influence 120 seats) 17% Dalits + SCs (Mallikarjun Kharge, Leader of Congress in Lok Sabha) (Influence 100 seats) 12-14% Upper caste Vokkaligas (Deve Gowda, JDS chief) (Influence 67 seats) 12.5% Muslims (Influence 66 seats) 8% OBC Kuruba (Cong CM Siddaramaiah) 7% Tribal (ST) 2% Other upper castes 2% Christians 30% Other OBCs

DALITS: Anger over the Centre’s feeble response to Supreme Court’s watering down of provisions in the SC/ST Atrocities Act is palpable. Union minister Ananthkumar Hegde’s statement that “Constitution needs to be changed time to time” also has been read as the NDA govt’s call against reservation

EMERGENCY YEARS: This was the period when the Ahinda outreach strategy was first used by Indira Gandhi-loyalist Devaraj Urs, the only K’taka CM to beat anti-incumbency against a powerful Congress faction. Riding on the Ahinda vote, he returned as CM in the assembly election of 1977

FARM CRISIS: Disquiet is severe; the state has seen 3,515 farmer suicides from 2013 till 2017. About 56% of its people depend on agriculture for their livelihood and have suffered 13 droughts in the last 16 years — it’s the most arid state after Rajasthan

GRAFT: The mining Reddy brothers, two of whom were indicted by Lokayukta in a scam in 2011, are back with the saffrons — two of them even contesting, BJP’s anti-graft moral ground shaky in poll winds. Congress too is weighed down by graft charges and mega scam charges. A 2017 survey of 20 states by a non-profit CMS showed K’taka to be the most corrupt state in having to bribe for public services

HINDUTVA: Holding aloft the Hindutva flag, especially in coastal districts of Kodagu and Mysuru, are MLA CT Ravi, and MP Shobha Karandlaje and Union minister Ananthkumar Hegde while CM-nominee B S Yeddyurappa canvasses as a farmers’ leader

INDEX: It’s India’s third fastest growing state. Bengaluru accounts for almost half the state’s GDP but K’taka is among middling states on social development parameters of health and education

JANATA DAL (SECULAR): JD(S) founder Deve Gowda hopes to play kingmaker in this do-or-die battle where father and son, one-time CM HD Kumaraswamy, have rejected alliances with BJP and Congress, but have been called “BJP’s B-team” by Rahul Gandhi. The Gowda clan is tipped to tap into the Dalit vote after a first-time tie-up with Mayawati — BSP will contest on 8 of the 36 SC seats

KANNADA IDENTITY: CM Siddaramaiah’s aggressive pitch for the primacy of Kannada over the north’s imposition of Hindi has won him fandom. In tandem with his government’s decision to adopt a separate flag for K’taka, his anti-Hindi measures were evident when Hindi signboards were removed from Metro stations

LINGAYATS: This upper caste forms the largest grouping, spread across north K’taka, influencing over half the seats. Traditionally BS Yeddyurappa loyalists, their man is on the backfoot handling Siddaramaiah’s move promising to declare Lingayats a religious minority; 48 of 218 Congress nominees are Lingayats

MUTTS: Multiple religious sects influence wide swathes and small clusters. Hence, Amit Shah’s visit of 43 mutts the moment he hit the campaign trail and Rahul Gandhi’s similar temple run of at least 20 shrines

NAMO EFFECT: The Modi wave won BJP 17 of Karnataka’s 28 Lok Sabha seats in 2014 but Congress still managed a 41% voteshare. Namo effect is on test here, given the state is the biggest of the four that Congress holds and the party has rarely gone below a 35% voteshare across elections

OOPS! Amit Shah’s campaign began on a shaky note with back-to-back faux pas. First, the saffron chief blurted that the most corrupt government had been their own man BSY’s. The second howler was when Shah’s translator goofed up saying PM Modi will do nothing for the poor. In a third slip, his garland for poet-philosopher Basavanna missed its target

POLITICS WITHIN: CM Siddaramaiah is for all purposes the heavyweight helming the campaign, but some reports suggest Dalit leader and Lok Sabha MP Mallikarjun Kharge may well be eyeing the CM’s post as well

QUOTA: A poll issue that could impact about 50 seats that were won with narrow margins in 2013. Karnataka government passed a bill for SC/ST reservation in promotion in govt jobs, side-stepping an SC order that had shot down the move. One camp is resisting the bill while associations of backward classes and minorities are pushing the Congress govt to notify the seniority list

REGIONALISM: In 2013, 20th century thinker-poet Kuvempu’s poem was declared K’taka’s state anthem. Kuvempu along with 12th century social reformer Basava are the “double helix of (Kannada) cultural DNA,” the CM said. Add to that his pitch that the South subsidises the North. Congress hopes the regionalism card will fetch it votes of Telugu, Tamil and Malayalam-speaking Bengalureans, about 30% of the city

SIDDARAMAIAH: He’s the only CM in K’taka to serve a full 5-year term in the last 40 years, claims he has delivered on 156 of 165 poll promises. Faces strong anti-incumbency, charges of corruption and criticism over his failure to fix Bengaluru’s infra and pollution problems

TAINTED NOMINEES: There’s no getting away from parties fielding tainted nominees, backers vouching for their ‘winnability’. All parties have significant numbers of allegedly corrupt nominees

UNIFICATION of the Kodagu and Kannada-speaking parts of the erstwhile provinces of Bombay, Madras and Hyderabad with the old Mysore state, under the States Reorganisation Act of 1956, formed the new state of Mysore. The state was renamed Karnataka in 1973

VERDICT: The Mecca Masjid verdict acquitting terror-accused Aseemanand is poll fodder with BJP chief Amit Shah targeting Congress over its ‘saffron terror’ comments

WATER SHARING: Sharing of Cauvery waters settled for now, farmers protesting over sharing of Mahadayi river waters with Goa, went on a 900-day-plus dharna in north Karnataka. Buoyed by Yeddyurappa’s claim that Goa CM Parrikar had promised to share Mahadayi’s waters, the stir shifted to Bengaluru BJP office in December 2017. But the claim fell flat, leaving farmers furious

X-FACTOR: This in reality the ex-factor with all parties leaning on old, reliable faces. Congress, for one, has repeated most of its candidates

YEDDYURAPPA: The return of the ex-CM to BJP has invigorated the saffron camp. BJP’s defeat in 2013 in the state was put down to the Lingayat neta’s exit from the party

Z Generation Z’s oldest members vote in their first poll as they turn 18 — 15L first time voters this time

Bharatiya Janata Party

2004- 18

The Bharatiya Janata Party in Karnataka, 2004- 18
From: May 14, 2023: The Times of India


See graphic:

The Bharatiya Janata Party in Karnataka, 2004- 18

2018, the result

The results of the Karnataka Assembly elections In Karnataka as whole; In the various regions of Karnataka; In SC, ST and general seats; and In urban and rural areas. The vote share of the main parties-
From: May 16, 2018: The Times of India

See graphic:

The results of the Karnataka Assembly elections
In Karnataka as whole;
In the various regions of Karnataka;
In SC, ST and general seats; and
In urban and rural areas.
The votr share of the main parties.

A list of the winners

Karnataka assembly election results: List of winners, May 15, 2018: The Indian Express


Karnataka assembly election results: The 2008 assembly elections in Karnataka was won by BJP comfortably with 110 seats, whereas the Congress swept the 2013 assembly elections with 122 seats.

The Karnataka assembly election results were announced on May 15. The Chief Minister Siddaramaiah-led Congress party trailed with 72 seats as former CM BS Yeddyurappa led BJP swept away 110 seats. The saffron party contested the 2018 state assembly polls independently against the Siddaramaiah government. Former prime minister H D Deve Gowda led JD (S) was confined to 37 seats.


List of successful candidates of 2018 elections:

Name of the party, candidate and constituency:

Afzalpur: MY Patil (Congress)

Aland: Guttedar Subhash Rukmayya (BJP)

Anekal: B Shiva-nna (Congress)

Arabhavi : Balachandra Lakshmanarao Jarakiholi (BJP)

Arsikere: K M Shiva-linge Gowda (JDS)

Aurad: Prabhu Chauhan (BJP)

Arkalgud: A T Ramaswamy (JDS)

Athani: Mahesh Iranagouda Kumathalli (Congress)

Babaleshwar: Mallanagoud Basanagoud Patil (Congress)

Badami: Siddaramaiah (Congress)

Bagalkot: Veerabhadrayya (Veeranna) Charantimath (BJP)

Bagepalli: S N Subbareddy(Chinnakayalapalli) (Congress)

Bantval: Rajesh Naik U (BJP)

Basavakalyan: B Narayanrao (Congress)

Basavana Bagevadi: Shivanand Patil (Congress)

Basavanagudi: Ravisubramanya L A (BJP)

Belgaum Dakshin: Abhay Patil (BJP)

Belgaum Rural: Laxmi R Hebbalkar (Congress)

Belthangady: Harish Poonja (BJP)

Bhadravati: BK Sangameshwara (Congress)

Bhalki: Eshwar Khandre (Congress)

Bhatkal: Sunil Biliya Naik (BJP)

Bidar: Rahim Khan (Congress)

Bidar South: Bandeppa (JDS)

Bilgi: Murugesh Rudrappa Nirani (BJP)

Bommanahalli: Sathish Reddy M (BJP)

Byadgi: Ballary Virupakshappa Rudrappa (BJP)

Byndoor: B M Sukumar Shetty (BJP)

B T M Layout: Ramalinga Reddy (Congress)

Bailhongal: Koujalagi Mahantesh Shivanand (Congress)

Bangarapet: S N Narayanaswamy K M (Congress)

Belgaum Uttar: Anil S Benake (BJP)

Bellary: B Nagendra (Congress)

Bellary City: G Somasekhara Reddy (BJP)

Belur: Lingesha K S (JDS)

Bijapur City: Basanagoud R Patil (BJP)

Byatarayanapura: Krishna Byregowda (Congress)

Bangalore South: M Krishnappa (BJP)

C V Raman Nagar: S Raghu (BJP)

Chamaraja: L Nagendra (BJP)

Chitradurga: G H Thippareddy (BJP)

Chamarajanagar: C Puttarangashetty (Congress)

Chamrajpet: B Z Zameer Ahmed Khan (Congress)

Chamundeshwari: G T Devegowda (JDS)

Channagiri: K Madalu Virupakshappa (BJP)

Chickpet: Uday B Garudachar (BJP)

Chikkaballapur: Dr K Sudhakar (Congress)

Chikkodi-Sadalga: Ganesh Prakash Hukkeri (Congress)

Chikmagalur: C T Ravi (BJP)

Chiknayakanhalli: J C Madhu Swamy (BJP)

Chincholi: Dr Umesh G Jadhav (Congress)

Chintamani: J K Krishna Reddy (JDS)

Chittapur: Priyank Kharge (Congress)

Challakere: T Raghumurthy (Congress)

Channapatna: H D Kumara Swamy (JDS)

Davanagere North: S A Ravindranath (BJP)

Davanagere South: Shamanur Shivashankarappa (Congress)

Devadurga: Shivana Gouda Nayak (BJP)

Devanahalli: Narayanaswamy L N (JDS)

Doddaballapur: T Venkataramanaiah (Congress)

Dasarahalli: R Manjunatha (JDS)

Devar Hippargi: Somanagouda B Patil (BJP)

Dharwad: Amrut Ayyappa Desai (BJP)

Gadag: Hanamantagouda Krishnagouda Patil (Congress)

Gandhi Nagar: Dinesh Gundu Rao (Congress)

Gangawati: Paranna Eshwarappa Munavalli (BJP)

Gauribidanur: N H Shivashankara Reddy (Congress)

Gokak: Jarkiholi Ramesh Laxmanrao (Congress)

Govindraj Nagar: V Somanna (BJP)

Gubbi: S R Srinivas (Vasu)

Gulbarga Dakshin: Dattatraya C Patil Revoor Appu Gouda (BJP)

Gulbarga Rural: Basawaraj Mattimud (BJP)

Gulbarga Uttar: Kaneez Fatima (Congress)

Gundlupet: C S Niranjan Kumar (BJP)

Gurmitkal: Nagangouda Kandkur (JDS)

Hadagalli: P T Parameshwara Naik (Congress)

Hagaribommanahalli: Bheema Naik L B P (Congress)

Haliyal: Deshpande R V (Congress)

Hangal: C M Udasi (BJP)

Hanur: R Narendra (Congress)

Harapanahalli: G Karunakara Reddy (BJP)

Harihar: S Ramappa (Congress)

Hassan: Preetham J Gowda (BJP)

Haveri: Neharu Olekar (BJP)

Hebbal: Suresh B S (Congress)

Heggadadevankote: Anil Kumar C (Congress)

Hirekerur: Basavanagouda Patil (Congress)

Hiriyur: K Poornima (BJP)

Holalkere: M Chandrappa (BJP)

Holenarasipur: H D Revanna (JDS)

Honnali: M P Renukacharya (BJP)

Hosakote: N Nagaraju (M T B) (Congress)

Hukkeri: Umesh Vishwanath Katti (BJP)

Humnabad: Rajshekhar (Congress)

Hunasuru: Adaguru H Vishwanath (JDS)

Hungund: Doddanagouda G Patil (BJP)

Hosadurga: Gulihatti D Shekar (BJP)

Hubli-Dharwad Central: Jagadish Shettar (BJP)

Hubli-dharwad- West: Arvind Bellad (BJP)

Hubli-dharwad-East: Abbayya Prasad (Congress)

Indi: Yashvantharaygouda Vittalagouda Patil (Congress)

Jagalur: S V Ramachandra (BJP)

Jamkhandi: Siddu Bhimappa Nyamgoud (Congress)

Jevargi: Ajay Dharam Singh (Congress)

K R Pura: B A Basavaraja (Congress)

Kadur: KS Prakash (BJP)

Kagwad: Shrimant Balasaheb Patil (Congress)

Kalghatgi: C M Nimbannavar (BJP)

Kampli: J N Ganesh (Congress)

Kanakagiri: Basavaraj Durugappa Dadesugur (BJP)

Kanakapura: D K Shivakumar (Congress)

Kapu: Lalaji R Mendon (BJP)

Karkal: V Sunil Kumar (BJP)

Karwar: Roopali Santosh Naik (BJP)

Khanapur: Dr Anjali Hemant Nimbalkar (Congress)

Kittur: Doddagoudar Mahantesh Basavantaray (BJP)

Kolar: K Srinivasa Gowda (JDS)

Kolar gold field: Roopakala M (Congress)

Kollegal: N Mahesh (BSP)

Koppal: K Raghavendra Basavaraj Hitnal (Congress)

Koratagere: Dr G Parameshwara (Congress)

Krishnaraja: S A Ramadas (BJP)

Krishnarajanagara: Sa Ra Mahesh (JDS)

Krishnarajapete: Narayanagowda (JDS)

Kudachi: P Rajeev (BJP)

Kudligi: N Y Gopalakrishna (BJP)

Kumta: Dinakar Keshav Shetty (BJP)

Kundapura: Halady Srinivas Shetty (BJP)

Kundgol: Channabasappa Sathyappa Shivalli (Congress)

Kunigal: H D Ranganath (Congress)

Kushtagi: Amaregouda Linganagouda Patil Bayyapur (Congress)

Lingsugur: D S Hoolageri (Congress)

Maddur: D C Thammanna (JDS)

Madhugiri: M V Veerabhadraiah (JDS)

Madikeri: Appachu Ranjam M P (BJP)

Magadi: A Manjunath (JDS)

Mahadevapura: Aravind Limbavali (BJP)

Mahalakshmi Layout: K Gopalaiah (JDS)

Malavalli: Dr K Annadani (JDS)

Malleshwaram: Dr Ashwath Narayan C N (BJP)

Malur: K Y Nanjegowda (Congress)

Mandya: M Srinivas

Mangalore: U T Abdul Khader (Congress)

Mangalore City North: Dr Bharath Shetty Y (BJP)

Mangalore City South: D Vedavyasa Kamath (BJP)

Manvi: Raja Venkatappa Nayak (JDS)

Maski: Pratapgouda Patil(Congress)

Mayakonda: N Linganna (BJP)

Melukote: C S Puttaraju (JDS)

Molakalmuru: B Sreeramulu (BJP)

Moodabidri: Umantha A Kotiyan (BJP)

Muddebihal: Ameenappa Gouda S Patil (Nadahalli) (BJP)

Mudhol: Govind Makthappa Karajol (BJP)

Mudigere: M P Kumaraswamy (BJP)

Mulbagal: H Nagesh (Independent)

Nagamangala: Suresh Gowdaa (JDS)

Nagthan: Devanand Fulasing Chavan (JDS)

Nanjangud: B Harshavardhan (BJP)

Narasimharaja: Tanveer Sait (Congress)

Nargund: Chandrakantagouda Channappagouda Patil (BJP)

Navalgund: Shankar B Patil Munenakoppa (BJP)

Nelamangala: Dr K Sreenivasmurthy (JDS)

Nippani: Jolle Shashikala Annasaheb (BJP)

Padmanaba Nagar: R Ashoka (BJP)

Pavagada: Venkataramanappa (Congress)

Periyapatna: K Mahadeva (JDS)

Pulakeshinagar: R Akhanda Srinivasamurthy (Congress)

Puttur: Sanjeeva Matandoor (BJP)

Raichur: Dr Shiavaraj Patil (BJP)

Raichur Rural: Basanagouda Daddal (Congress)

Rajaji Nagar: S Suresh Kumar (BJP)

Ramanagaram: H D Kumaraswamy (JDS)

Ramdurg: Mahadevappa Shivalingappa Yadawad (BJP)

Ranibennur: R Shankar (KPJP)

Raybag: Aihole Duryodhan Mahalingappa (BJP)

Ron: Kalakappa Bandi (BJP)

Sagar: H Halappa Harathalu (BJP)

Sakleshpur: H K Kumaraswamy (JDS)

Sandur: E Tukaram (Congress)

Sarvagnanagar: K J George (Congress)

Saundatti yellamma: Anand @ Vishwanath Chandrashekhar Mamani (BJP)

Sedam: Rajkumar Patil (BJP)

Shahpur: Sharanabasappa Gouda Darshanapur (Congress)

Shanti Nagar: N A Haris (Congress)

Shiggaon: Basavaraj Bommai

Shikaripura: B S Yadiyurappa

Shimoga: K S Eshwarappa (BJP)

Shimoga Rural: K B Ashoka Naik (BJP)

Shirahatti: Ramappa Sobeppa Lamani (BJP)

Shiva-jinagar: R Roshan Baig (Congress)

Shorapur: Narasimhanayak (Rajugouda)(BJP)

Shravanabelagola: CN Balakrishna (JDS)

Shrirangapattana: Ravindra Srikantaiah (JDS)

Sidlaghatta: V Muniyappa (Congress)

Sindgi: Managuli Mallappa Channaveerappa (JDS)

Sindhanur: Venkatrao Nadagouda (JDS)

Sira: B Sathyanarayana (JDS)

Sirsi: Kageri Vishweshwar Hegde (BJP)

Siruguppa: M S Somalingappa (BJP)

Sorab: S Kumara Bangarappa (BJP)

Sringeri: T D Rajegowda (Congress)

Srinivaspur: K R Ramesh Kumar (Congress)

Sullia: Angara S (BJP)

T Narasipur: Ashvin Kumar M (JDS)

Tarikere: D S Suresh (BJP)

Terdal: Siddu Savadi (BJP)

Titpur: B C Nagesh (BJP)

Tirthahalli: Araga Jnanedra (BJP)

Tumkur City: G B Jyothi Ganesh (BJP)

Tumkur Rural: D C Gowrishankar (JDS)

Turuvekere: Jayaram A S (BJP)

Udupi: K Raghupathi Bhat (BJP)

Varuna: Yathindra S (Congress)

Vijay Nagar: M Krishnappa (Congress)

Vijayanagara: Anand Singh (Congress)

Virajpet: K G Bopaiah (BJP)

Yadgir: Venkatreddy Mudnal

Yelahanka: S R Vishwanath (BJP)

Yelburga: Achar Halappa Basappa (BJP)

Yellapur: Arabail Hebbar Shivaram (Congress)

Yemkanmardi: Satish L Jarkiholi (Congress)

Yeshvanthapura: S T Somashekhar (Congress)


List of successful candidates of 2013 elections:

Name of the candidate, party and constituency:

1. Jolle Shashikala Annasaheb (BJP), Nippani

2. Prakash Babanna Hukkeri (Chikkodi-Sadalga) INC

3 Laxman Sangappa Savadi (Athani) BJP

4 Bharamgoud Alagoud Kage (Kagwad) BJP

5 P.Rajeev (Kudachi) BSRCP

6 Aihole Duryodhan Mahalingappa (Raybag) BJP

7 Umesh Vishwanath Katti (Hukkeri) BJP

8 Balachandra Laxmanrao Jarkiholi (Arabhavi) BJP

9 Jarkiholi Ramesh Laxmanrao (Gokak) INC

10 Satish Laxmanarao Jarakiholi (Yemkanmardi) INC

11 Fairoz Nuruddin Saith (Belgaum Uttar) INC

12 Sambhaji Lakshman Patil (Belgaum Dakshin) IND

13 Sanjay B Patil (Belgaum Rural) BJP

14 Arvind Chandrakant Patil (Khanapur) IND

15 Inamadar Danappagouda Basanagouda (Kittur) INC

16 Dr Vishwanath Iranagouda Patil (Bailhongal) KJP

17 Anand Alias Vishwanath Chandrashekhar Mamani (Saundatti Yellamma) BJP

18 Ashok Mahadevappa Pattan (Ramdurg) INC

19 Govind.M.Karjol (Madhol) BJP

20 Umashree (Terdal) INC

21 Siddu B. Nyamagouda (Jamkhandi) INC

22. J . T. Patil (Bilgi) INC

23. Chimmanakatti Balappa Bhimappa (Badami) INC

24 Meti Hullappa Yamanappa (Bagalkot) INC

25 Kashappanavar Vijayanand Shivashankrappa (Hungund) INC

26 Appaji Urf Channabasavaraj Shankarao Nadagoud (Muddebihal) INC

27 Aminappagouda Sanganagouda Patil (Devar Hippargi) INC

28 Shivanand S Patil (Basavana Bagevadi) INC

29 M.B.Patil (Babaleshwar) INC

30 Makbul S Bagawan (Bijapur City) INC

31 Raju Alagur (Nagthan) INC

32 Yashavantarayagouda Vittalagouda Patil (Indi) INC

33 Bhusanur Ramesh Balappa (Sindgi) BJP

34 Malikayya Venkayya Guttedar (Afzalpur) INC

35 Ajay Dharam Singh (Jevargi) INC

36 Raja Venkatappa Nayak (Shorapur) INC

37 Guru Patil Shiraval (Shahapur) KJP

38 Dr. Maalakareddy (Yadgir) INC

39 Baburao Chinchanasoor (Gurmitkal) INC

40 Priyank M. Kharge (Chittapur) INC

41 Dr Sharanprakash Patil (Sedam) INC

42 Dr Umesh G Jadav (Chincholi (SC) INC

43 G.Ramkrishna (Gulbarga Rural (SC) INC

44 Dattatraya C. Patil Revoor (Gulbarga Dakshin) BJP

45 Qamar Ul Islam (Gulbarga Uttar) INC

46 B.R. Patil (Aland) KJP

47 Mallikarjun Sidramappa Khuba (Basavakalyan) JD(S)

48 Rajashekhar Basavaraj Patil (Homnabad) INC

49 Ashok Kheny (Bidar South) KMP

50 Gurupadappa Nagamarpalli (Bidar) KJP

51 Eshwara Khandre (Bhalki) INC

52 Prabhu B. Chavan (Aurad (SC) BJP

53 Thipparaju ( Raichur Rural (ST) BJP

54 Dr. Shivaraj Patil S. (Raichur JD(S)

55 G.Hampayya Sahukar Ballatagi (Manvi (ST) INC

56 A. Venkatesh Naik (Devadurga (ST) INC

57 Manappa D.Vajjal (Lingsugur (SC) JD(S)

58 Badarli Hampanagouda (Sindhanur) INC

59 Pratapgowda Patil (Maski (ST) INC

60 Doddanagouda Hanamagouda Patil (Kushtagi) BJP

61 Shivaraj Sangappa Tangadagi (Kanakagiri (SC) INC

62 Iqbal Ansari (Gangawati) JD(S)

63 Basavaraj Rayaraddy (Yelburga) INC

64 K.Raghavendra Basavaraj Hitnal (Koppal) INC

65 Doddamani Ramakrishna Shiddlingappa (Shirahatti (SC) INC

66 H K Patil (Gadag) INC

67 Gurupadagouda Sanganagouda Patil (Ron) INC

68 B R Yavagal (Nargund) INC

69 N.H.Konaraddi (Navalgund) JD(S)

70 Channabasappa Satyappa Shivalli (Kundgol) INC

71 Vinay Kulkarni (Dharwad) INC

72 Abbayya Prasad (Hubli-Dharwad-East (SC) INC

73 Jagadish Shettar (Hubli-Dharwad-Central) BJP

74 Aravind Chandrakant Bellad (Hubli-Dharwad- West) BJP

75 Santhosh S Lad (Kalghatgi) INC

76 Deshpande. R. V. (Haliyal) INC

77 Santeesh Sail Krishna (Karwar) IND

78 Sharda Mohan Shetty (Kumta) INC

79 Mankala Subba Vaidya (Bhatkal) IND

80 Anant Kageri Vishweshwar Hegde (Sirsi) BJP

81 Arbail Shivaram Hebbar (Yellapur) INC

82 Manohar H. Tahashildar (Hangal) INC

83 Basavaraj Bommai (Shiggaon) BJP

84 Rudrappa Manappa Lamani (Haveri (SC) INC

85 Basavaraj Neelappa Shivannanavar (Byadgi) INC

86 U. B. Banakar (Hirekerur) KJP

87 Koliwad K.B (Ranibennur) INC

88 P.T.Parameshwaranaik (Hadagalli (SC) INC

89 Bheemanaik Lbp (Hagaribommanahalli (SC) JD(S)

90 Anand Singh (Vijayanagara) BJP

91 T.H. Suresh Babu (Kampli (ST) BSRCP

92 B.M. Nagaraja (Siruguppa (ST) INC

93 B. Sreeramulu (Bellary (ST) BSRCP

94 Anil Lad (Bellary City) INC

95 E.Tukaram (Sandur (ST) INC

96 B. Nagendra (Kudligi (ST) IND

97 S. Thippeswamy (Molakalmuru (ST) BSRCP

98 T Raghumurthy (Challakere (ST) INC

99 G.H.Thippareddy (Chitradurga) BJP

100 D.Sudhakar (Hiriyur) INC

101 B.G. Govindappa (Hosadurga) INC

102 H. Anjaneya (Holalkere (SC) INC

103 H.P.Rajesh (Jagalur (ST) INC

104 M P Ravindra (Harapanahalli) INC

105 H.S. Shivashankar (Harihar) JD(S)

106 S S Mallikarjuna (Davanagere North) INC

107 Shamanur Shivashankarappa (Davanagere South) INC

108 K.Shivamurthy (Mayakonda (SC) INC

109 Vadnal Rajanna (Channagiri) INC

110 D. G Shantana Gowda (Honnali) INC

111 Sharada Pooryanaik (Shimoga Rural (SC) JD(S)

112 Appaji. M.J (Bhadravati) JD(S)

113 K.B. Prasannakumar (Shimoga) INC

114 Kimmane Ratnakar (Tirthahalli) INC

115 B.S.Yadiyurappa (Shikaripura) KJP

116 S.Madhu Bangarappa (Sorab) JD(S)

117 Kagodu Thimmappa (Sagar) INC

118 K.Gopala Poojary (Byndoor) INC

119 Halady Srinivasa Shetty (Kundapura) IND

120 Pramod Madhwaraj (Udupi) INC

121 Vinay Kumar Sorake (Kapu) INC

122 V.Sunill Kumar (Karkal) BJP

123 D.N. Jeevaraj (Sringeri) BJP

124 B.B. Ningaiah (Mudigere (SC) JD(S)

125 C T Ravi (Chikmagalur) BJP

126 G.H Srinivasa (Tarikere) INC

127 Y.S.V.Datta (Kadur) JD(S)

128 C.B.Sureshbabu (Chiknayakanhalli) JD(S)

129 K.Shadakshari (Tiptur) INC

130 M.T.Krishnappa (Turuvekere) JD(S)

131 D. Nagarajaiah (Kunigal) JD(S)

132 Dr. Rafeeq Ahmed S. (Tumkur City) INC

133 B.Suresh Gowda (Tumkur Rural) BJP

134 Sudhakara Lal .P.R (Koratagere (SC) JD(S)

135 S R Shrinivas (Gubbi) JD(S)

136 T B Jayachandra (Sira) INC

137 K.M.Thimmarayappa (Pavagada (SC) JD(S)

138 Kyatasandra N.Rajanna (Madhugiri) INC

139 N H Shivashankara Reddy M INC

140 Bagepalli S.N Subbareddy(Chinnakayalapalli) M IND

141 Chikkaballapur Dr. K Sudhakar M INC

142 Sidlaghatta M. Rajanna M JD(S)

143 Chintamani J.K.Krishnareddy M JD(S)

144 Srinivaspur K.R.Rameshkumar M INC

145 Mulbagal (SC) G.Manjunatha M IND

146 Ramakka .Y ( Kolar Gold Field (SC) BJP

147 S.N.Narayanaswamy.K.M (Bangarapet (SC) INC

148 R. Vathur Prakash (Kolar) IND

149 K.S. Manjunathgowda ( Malur) JD(S)

150 S.R. Vishwanath (Yelahanka) BJP

151 B.A.Basavaraja (K.R.Pura) INC

152 Krishna Byre Gowda (Byatarayanapura) INC

153 S.T.Somashekar ( Yeshvanthapura) INC

154 Munirathna ( Rajarajeshwarinagar) INC

155 S Muniraju (Dasarahalli) BJP

156 Gopalaiah .K. (Mahalakshmi Layout) JD(S)

157 Dr. Ashwath Narayan C. N. (Malleshwaram) BJP

158 R. Jagadeesh Kumar (Hebbal) BJP

159 Akhanda Srinivas Murthy.R (Pulakeshinagar (SC) JD(S)

160 K.J. George (Sarvagnanagar) INC

161 S. Raghu (C.V. Raman Nagar (SC) BJP

162 R.Roshan Baig (Shiva-jinagar) INC

163 N.A.Haris ( Shanti Nagar) INC

164 Dinesh Gundu Rao (Gandhi Nagar) INC

165 S.Suresh Kumar (Rajaji Nagar) BJP

166 Priyakrishna (Govindraj Nagar) INC

167 M.Krishnappa (Vijay Nagar) INC

168 B.Z.Zameer Ahmed Khan (Chamrajpet) JD(S)

169 R.V. Devraj (Chickpet) INC

170 Ravi Subramanya.L.A. (Basavanagudi) BJP

171 R Ashoka (Padmanaba Nagar) BJP

172 Ramalingareddy (B.T.M Layout) INC

173 B.N. Vijayakumar (Jayanagar BJP

174 Arvind Limbavali (Mahadevapura (SC) BJP

175 Sathish Reddy.M ( Bommanahalli) BJP

176 M. Krishnappa (Bangalore South) BJP

177 Shivanna B. (Anekal (SC) INC

178 M.T.B. Nagaraj (Hosakote) INC

179 Pilla Munishamappa (Devanahalli (SC) JD(S)

180 T.Venkataramanaiah (Doddaballapur) INC

181 Dr K Srinivasamurthy (Nelamangala (SC) JD(S)

182 H.C.Balakrishna (Magadi) JD(S)

183 H D Kumara Swamy (Ramanagaram) JD(S)

184 D.K. Shivakumar(Kanakapura) INC

185 C P Yogeshwara (Channapatna) SP

186 P.M.Narendra Swamy (Malavalli (SC) INC

187 D.C.Thammanna (Maddur) JD(S)

188 K.S.Puttannaiah (Melukote) SKP

189 M.H. Ambareesh (Mandya) INC

190 A.B. Ramesha Bandisiddegowda (Shrirangapattana)JD(S)

191 N.Chaluvarayaswamy (Nagamangala) JD(S)

192 Narayanagowda (Krishnarajpet) JD(S)

193 C.N.Balakrishna (Shravanabelagola) JD(S)

194 K.M.Shivalinge Gowda (Arsikere) JD(S)

195 Y.N Rudresha Gowda (Belur) INC

196 H.S.Prakash (Hassan) JD(S)

197 H.D Revanna (Holenarasipur) JD(S)

198 Manju A (Arkalgud) INC

199 Kumaraswamy H.K. (Sakleshpur (SC) JD(S)

200 K. Vasantha Bangera (Belthangady) INC

201 K Abhayachandra (Moodabidri) INC

202 B.A.Mohiuddin Bava (Mangalore City North) INC

203 J.R.Lobo (Mangalore City South) INC

204 U T Khader (Mangalore) INC

205 B.Ramanatha Rai (Bantval) INC

206 Shakuntala T Shetty (Puttur) INC

207 Angara. S (Sullia (SC) BJP

208 Appachu (Ranjan) M.P (Madikeri)BJP

209 K.G.Bopaiah (Virajpet) BJP

210 K.Venkatesh (Periyapatna) INC

211 Sa.Ra.Mahesh (Krishnarajanagara) JD(S)

212 H.P.Manjunath (Hunsur) INC

213 Chikkamadu S (Heggadadevankote (ST) JD(S)

214 V.Srinivasa Prasad ( Nanjangud (SC) INC

215 G.T. Deve Gowda (Chamundeshwari) JD(S)

216 M.K.Somashekar (Krishnaraja) INC

217 Vasu (Chamaraja) INC

218 Tanveer Sait (Narasimharaja) INC

219 Siddaramaiah (Varuna) INC

220 Dr. H.C. Mahadevappa ( T.Narasipur (SC) INC

221 R.Narendra (Hanur) INC

222 S. Jayanna ( Kollegal (SC) INC

223 C.Puttarangashetty (Chamarajanagar) INC

224 H.S. Mahadeva Prasad (Gundlupet) INC

NOTA

In 4 seats, NOTA beat victory margins

May 17, 2018: The Times of India

If the demand for banning candidates from constituencies where None Of the Above (NOTA) votes are higher than the winning margin had been accepted by the election commission, there would have been re-elections in four constituencies. The four constituencies are Badami, Kundgol, Maski and Aland. Siddaramaiah defeated BJP’s Sreeramulu by 1,696 votes in Badami, with 2,007 NOTAs. The Kundgol MLA retianed the seat by a 634-vote margin and 1,032 NOTAs. In Maski, NOTAs (2,049) were 10 times higher than the winning margin. In Aland, NOTAs (1,445) were twice the winning margin.

The position of the main parties

How Karnataka voted in 2018 (Party-wise)
From: May 16, 2018: The Hindu
Karnataka 2018 results, assembly elections
From: May 16, 2018: The Hindu

See graphics:

How Karnataka voted in 2018 (Party-wise)

Karnataka 2018 results, assembly elections

BJP

BJP benefitted from split among Dalits

May 16, 2018: The Times of India


The battle between BJP and Congress to win over Dalits, who constitute about 24% of Karnataka’s population, was intense and keenly watched. BJP would be the happier party with the results.

Of the seats reserved for scheduled castes (SCs), BJP won 16, Congress 12 and JD(S) 5. In the scheduled tribe (ST) seats, BJP had a tally of eight, Congress 6 and JD(S) 1. There were a total of 36 seats reserved for SCs and 15 for STs. Results for some seats were yet to be declared at the time of writing.

SCs in Karnataka are broadly divided into two subsets, the Holeyas and the Madigas. The result suggests the Madigas have deserted Congress, largely because they feel the Holeyas have cornered benefits in jobs and education.

“This is the reason why Siddaramaiah, during the last cabinet reshuffle, chose to have a Dalit (A H Anjenaya) from the Madiga group as social welfare minister,” a senior Congress leader said. “But the benefits did not accrue since many Madiga group candidates, including Anjenya, lost.”

The campaign also saw an intense battle between Congress and JD(S), with Nowhera Shaik’s Mahila Empowerment Party as another player, to win the Muslim vote that makes up about 12% of the electorate. The Congress appears to have retained its vote base except in JD(S)-dominated constituencies like Ramanagara and Channapatna. But this played into BJP’s hands since the Muslim vote was divided between its two rival parties.

Margins of victory, 2013, 2014, 2018

Margins of victory in the 2013 and 2014 elections in Karnataka- I
From: May 16, 2018: The Times of India
Margins of victory in the 2018 elections in Karnataka- II
From: May 16, 2018: The Times of India

See graphics:

Margins of victory in the 2013 and 2014 elections in Karnataka- I

Margins of victory in the 2018 elections in Karnataka- II

Congress

Congress gains in vote share, loses out on seats

Despite gains in vote share, the Congress loses out on seats, May 15, 2018: The Times of India


Conventional logic says that if a party increases its vote share, it should win more seats in election. While that holds true for the BJP, as the 2018 Karnataka election results reveal, the same can’t be said for the Congress.

First, a look at how the BJP has fared in terms of vote share in the last three elections. It’s been a see-saw ride to say the least. In 2008, the BJP had a 33.9 per cent vote share, which dropped to 19.9 per cent in 2013 and has risen back to 36.2 per cent in 2018.

Explore how Karnataka voted

Now look at the Congress’s vote share numbers. The party has steadily improved its vote shares in the last three elections from 34.8 per cent in 2008 to 36.6 per cent in 2013 to 38 per cent in 2018. However, this has not translated to more seats. In 2008, despite a higher vote share, the Congress lost to the BJP. In 2013, its vote share increased by 2.2 per cent but its seat share rose dramatically to 54.5 per cent. In 2018, despite a higher vote share, the number of seats it won has dropped.

What worked in BJP’s favour? In 2012, the BJP split, BS Yeddyurappa who was then the chief minister was forced to step down due to corruption charges. He walked out to set up the Karnataka Janata Paksha (KJP) and his party bagged 10 per cent vote share in 2013. Similarly, B Sreeramulu quit the BJP to set up the BSR Congress, which too bagged 2 per cent vote share in 2013. In 2018, the two leaders buried the hatchet and were back in the BJP fold. This augured well for the BJP, which got a 36.8 per cent vote share and has emerged as the single largest party in terms of seats won.

Why has the Congress not been able to win more seats despite higher vote share? One, the BJP made deep inroads into its traditional strongholds -- coastal Karnataka and Mumbai Karnataka -- regions, the Congress won several seats in 2013, but was not able to make a marked difference in 2018.

Two, the Congress’s strategy of a minority status for Lingayat and Veerashaiva communities came a cropper. Both the communities appear to have gravitated towards leaders from their own communities -- BS Yeddyurappa who is a Lingayat and Sreeramulu who belongs to the Veerashaiva community -- which are back in the BJP fold.

Elections with Times: Flavour of poll campaigns, ground mood

Three, the Vokkaliga community, too did not waiver towards the Congress. PM Modi’s campaigned aggressively in Old Mysuru constituencies where the fight was between the JD (S) and the Congress. This strategy had the desired impact -- JD (S) maintained its stronghold in the region and won more seats.

Congress's Lingayat religious minority card failed

May 15, 2018: The Times of India

Two of the major chunks of voters that the Congress was banking on in Karnataka were Dalits and Lingayats and as election results were declared both appeared to have voted in large numbers for the BJP. In fact, the Congress in 2013 rose to power in the southern state with a strong backing of minorities, backward classes and Dalits and the same coalition led to its ouster in 2018.

The Congress desperately tried to add to the coalition the Lingayat factor by granting religious minority status to the community - a move that didn't work to its advantage.

Dalits and Scheduled Tribes in Karnataka are huge in numbers anywhere between 20 to 23 per cent, enough to make or break prospects for any political party to come to power.

Take a look at the past elections of Karnataka.

In the 51 constituencies reserved for the Scheduled Castes and Scheduled Tribes, the BJP got just seven in 2013 while the Congress got 26 and JD-S 11. The BSR Congress bagged four seats while two went to independents. The Congress scored an easy majority.

In 2008, when the BJP won the mandate as the single largest party, it bagged 27 and the Congress 17. The JD-S won nine.

And cut to 2018 that threw up a hung verdict. The BJP and the Congress appeared neck and neck winning 23 and 19 seats respectively. The JD-S grabbed eight. The end result is a hung assembly which was a similar case in 2004.

Dalits have traditionally been supporters of the Congress but the BJP has successfully managed to break into the support bases, particularly since the 2004 polls when it managed a social engineering exercise to attract a section of Dalit voters - called the Left Dalits.

The Left Dalits are considered the most marginalised among such communities.

The Congress also tried to woo BJP Chief Ministerial face B.S. Yeddyurappa's own caste - the Lingayats - a traditional BJP support base. They have influence on nearly 100 seats in the 224-member assembly and make up 17 per cent of the state's population.

The Congress hoped that that by playing the religious minority card, it would split the BJP's vote base as Lingayats appeared going back to Yeddyurappa after voting against him in 2013. But the experiment seemed to have failed.

The BJP won from the majority of Lingayat dominated seats - mainly in north Karnataka (Hyderabad Karnataka) and parts of the central region.

In 2013, when the Congress emerged a clear winner, it won 47 seats in Lingayata heartlands, against just five for the BJP.

Vokkaligas vote against Siddaramaiah, hurt Congress

Chethan Kumar, May 15, 2018: The Times of India


HIGHLIGHTS

Siddaramaiah’s tussle with the numerically strong Vokkaliga community can be a strong reason for his loss in Chamundeshwari

JD (S) leader GT Deve Gowda won from Chamundeshwari with a margin of 36,000 votes


Among other things that the Congress party will find as reasons for its loss when it introspects, Siddaramaiah’s tussle with the numerically strong Vokkaliga community will be among the top three. If this costs him his seat in Chamundeshwari, JD (S) leader GT Deve Gowda won with a margin of 36,000 votes, it also impacted the party’s prospects in the old Mysuru region comprising Mandya, Tumakuru, Hassan, Kolar and Chamarajanagar.

In Chamundeshwari—which can be viewed as a microcosm of the impact Vokkaligas had on Congress—of the 2.2-odd lakh electors who voted, 1.21 lakh or 55% voted for GT Deve Gowda, while Siddaramaiah garnered 38% of vote share with 85,283 votes. In all, the constituency had an estimated 1.3 lakh Vokkaliga voters.

Experts estimated that there were at least 45 seats where the Vokkaliga community could play a key role, and the JD(S) has managed to win more than 20 of these, where the community was decisive.

JD (S), riding on Vokkaliga backing swept Mandya winning all six seats. It didn’t even spare the Melkote segment, where Congress didn’t field anybody as a sign of respect to veteran politician Puttannaiah, who passed away earlier this year. While Congress extended its support to Puttannaiah’s son Darshan, JD(S) decided to field a sitting MP CS Puttaraju, a strong Vokkaliga who won.

GT Deve Gowda, analysing Congress’ performance said: “Siddaramaiah is not somebody we dislike, but his remarks about Deve Gowda in the run-up to the elections angered the community, which consolidated against him, not just in Hassan and Mandya, but in other districts of the belt too.”

In Hassan, considered the backyard of JD(S) supremo HD Deve Gowda’s family, the party bagged six of seven seats, improving its tally by one from 2013 with Gowda’s son HD Revanna also winning with a huge margin. The party, however, is said to have given away the Hassan seat to BJP, whose Preetham J Gowda, won with more than 10,000.

The community has also managed to dent Congress’ chances in many segments in Kolar, where it won three seats, Tumakuru, where it won six of 11 seats, and also in Mysuru and Chamarajanagar.

Political analyst Krishna Kumar, says: “One key factor was appointing Kempaiah as the home minister’s advisor and the subsequent feeling among Vokkaliga officers that they are being retributed. The community did not take lightly what they perceived was a ploy to make the Kuruba community stronger.”

With pre-poll alliance, Cong-JD(S) could’ve won 151, BJP 69

May 17, 2018: The Times of India

The results of the Karnataka Assembly elections, 2018, and what could have been
From: May 17, 2018: The Times of India

How much of a difference to the results would it have made if Congress and JD(S) had a pre-poll alliance in Karnataka? ‘What if’ questions are always hard to answer in politics, but going purely by the arithmetic of the actual results, such an alliance would have won 151 seats leaving the BJP with just 69.

More importantly, if the two parties tie up for the 2019 Lok Sabha polls and if voters stick to the same party preferences — big ifs — BJP would be reduced to just 7 of the state’s 28 seats instead of the 17 it won in 2014, while Congress could raise its tally from 9 to 17. These emerge from the numbers of the 2018 verdict.

Had there been such an opposition alliance, Congress would have won 99 seats instead of the 78 it won and JD (S) would have won 51 seats against its tally of 37. BSP, which was a JD(S) ally, would have won the seat it did, but not gained from an alliance.

In the Lok Sabha polls, combining the Congress and JD(S) votes makes no difference to the latter’s potential tally. The votes it polled would be enough for it to win Hassan, Mandya, Tumkur and Kolar and adding Congress votes does not add to its tally. On the other hand, Congress would win Chikkodi, Raichur, Uttara Kannada, Davengere, Shimoga and Chitradurga if JD(S) votes were added to its kitty but lose these seats to BJP if it contested on its own.

For BJP, the good news is that even if such an alliance were to happen, it would still win the Belgaum, Bagalkot, Haveri, Dharwar, Udupi Chikmagalur, Dakshina Kannada and Bangalore South parliamentary seats as long as voters stick to their current preference. And if some voters who picked Congress or JD(S) in these polls switch to BJP in a national poll, its tally could be higher.

Of course, there is more than arithmetic to polls and political alliances, but these calculations give an indication of the possible impact an opposition alliance could have.

Prominent winners, losers

The 2018 Assembly elections in Karnataka: Prominent winners, losers-I
From: May 16, 2018: The Times of India
The 2018 Assembly elections in Karnataka- Prominent winners, losers- II
From: May 16, 2018: The Times of India

See graphics:

The 2018 Assembly elections in Karnataka- Prominent winners, losers- I

The 2018 Assembly elections in Karnataka- Prominent winners, losers- II

16 ministers lose in Karnataka

May 16, 2018: The Times of India


Sixteen Karnataka ministers bit the dust as a Modi wave coupled with an anti-incumbency factor swept the state.

Those who lost were Kogodu Thimmappa (revenue), R Ramanath Rai (forest), HC Mahadevappa (PWD), HM Revanna (transport), Basavaraj Reddy (higher education), A Manju (animal husbandry), SS Mallikarjun (horticulture), HC Mohan Kumari (small scale industries), Sharan Prakash Patil (medical education), H Anjaneya (social welfare), Santosh Lad (labour), Rudrappa Lamani (excise), T B Jayachandra (law), Pramod Madhwaraj (fisheries), Vinay Kulkarni (mines), Umashree (WCD).

CM Siddaramaiah lost by a margin of 36,042 votes in his traditional constituency of Chamundeshwari in Mysuru to JDS’s G T Deve Gowda. He, however, managed to scrape through in Badami in north Karnataka by a slender margin of 1,696 votes after a seesaw battle against BJP’s B Sriramulu.

Voting, region-wise

How the various regions of Karnataka voted in the Assembly elections of 2018
From: May 16, 2018: The Times of India
Karnataka Assembly elections, 2018:
The votes polled and seats won by the main parties
From: May 16, 2018: The Times of India
Karnataka Assembly elections, 2018: The average age and assets of the winning candidates, < br/> Women in the new assembly
From: May 16, 2018: The Times of India
How Karnataka's different regions voted in 2018- Bengaluru, Central Karnataka, Coastal Karnataka
From: May 16, 2018: The Hindu
How Karnataka's different regions voted in 2018- Hyderabad Karnataka, Mumbai Karnataka and Southern Karnataka
From: May 16, 2018: The Hindu

See graphics:

How the various regions of Karnataka voted in the Assembly elections of 2018

Karnataka Assembly elections, 2018:
The votes polled and seats won by the main parties

Karnataka Assembly elections, 2018: The average age and assets of the winning candidates;
Women in the new assembly

How Karnataka's different regions voted in 2018- Bengaluru, Central Karnataka, Coastal Karnataka

How Karnataka's different regions voted in 2018- Hyderabad Karnataka, Mumbai Karnataka and Southern Karnataka

Pockets of Influence, and the issues

Pockets of Influence, and issues in 2013, 2018
From: May 16, 2018: The Times of India

See graphic:

Pockets of Influence, and issues in 2013, 2018

What worked or didn’t for the main parties

Compiled by Rakesh Prakash, May 16, 2018: The Times of India


BJP

CM PICK: Projecting Yeddyurappa, a Lingayat, as CM candidate a year ahead helped Lingayat consolidation — and made Congress’s last-minute promise of minority religion status seem like a poll gambit.


GOING TO THE GROUND: Amit Shah’s micro-management included appointment of page pramukhs (in charge of each page of the electoral roll), preparing a database of those with smartphones in each booth, and hoisting BJP flags atop houses of booth-level committee presidents.

MODI EVERYWHERE: PM Modi did 21 rallies, criss-crossing the state, infusing energy into cadre and winning over voters in a last-minute push TAKING IT SLOW: BJP took its time to allot tickets, commissioned multiple surveys; chose to avoid ‘dynasty’ taint by denying ticket to Yeddyurappa’s son Vijayendra.

FARMERS’ VOTES: Vokkaligas, a powerful agrarian community, saw BJP as a Lingayat party and stuck with Deve Gowda and family.

REDDY NOT STEADY: Giving the Reddy brothers’ associates tickets meant attacks on Congress on corruption didn’t stick; BJP was seen as willing to do anything to get numbers.

JD(S)

EARLY START: JD(S) was first to announce its first list of 126 candidates, and ensure that funds were routed to them.

BIG PROMISES: Kumaraswamy’s promise to waive all farm loans within 24 hours of coming to power and give monthly pension of Rs 6,000 to senior citizens won hearts and votes.

HOLDING GROUND: Retained old Mysore region; got votes of Vokkaligas who were angry with Siddaramaiah’s potshots at Deve Gowda and calling JD(S) BJP’s B team.

CONGRESS

BIGGER SHARE: Despite anti-incumbency, it managed to increase its vote share by 2%.

CITY WIN: Bengaluru’s awful urban infrastructure, traffic and frothing lakes a sore point, but Cong managed to retain its 13 seats in the city.

POOR GAMBLE: Siddaramaiah’s Lingayat card didn’t work as the powerful big mutts didn’t clearly spell out whether they were for or against minority status.

CASTEMATH:Congress focus on Ahinda — a Kannada acronym for alpasankhyataru (minorities), hindulidavaru mattu (backward classes) and dalitaru (Dalits) — left Gowdas feeling marginalised, pushed them to BJP. Kurubas (Siddaramaiah’s caste) stuck with Congress but wasn’t enough.

CORRUPTIONCHARGES: Allegations against Siddaramaiah’s senior colleagues, especially in Bengaluru, hurt; BJP slogan of ‘10% commission CM’ resonated with voters.

LANGUAGE WARS: Kannada pride did not get votes; voters prioritised water, roads etc over emotive appeals.

Women MLAs elected

Only 7 women make it to K’taka House, number rises by just 1, May 17, 2018: The Times of India


The number of women contestants may have increased in the state in the just concluded assembly polls, but not the number of legislators. Of the 2,655 candidates contesting from 222 seats, only 216 are women.

Women’s representation continues to remain in single digits in the 224-member Karnataka assembly: from six in 2013 to seven in the new house.

Belagavi district, though, has reason to be proud as it elected three of these seven MLAs. Of the winners, four are from Congress and three from BJP. Interestingly, only one of the six incumbent women legislators, BJP’s Shashikala Annasaheb Jolle, retained Nippani while her husband Annasaheb Jolle was defeated in neighbouring Chikkodi-Sadalga constituency.

Prominent among those who won from the Congress include party women’s wing leader Lakshmi R Hebbalkar and Anjali Nimbalkar, a gynaecologist and wife of IPS officer Hemant Nimbalkar. While Hebbalkar defeated Sanjay Patil in Belagavi Rural, Nimbalkar won against BJP's Vittal Halagekar from Khanapur. Hebbalkar and Nimbalkar are first-time MLAs, while Jolle was elected the second time.

M Roopakala, daughter of seven-time Kolar MP K H Muniyappa, was elected from KGF, while Kaneez Fatima, wife of late minister Qamarul Islam, who represented Gulbarga North in 2013, retained her husband’s seat. BJP candidates K Poornima (Hiriyur) and Roopali Santosh Naik (Karwar) were the other winners.

See also

Karnataka: Assembly elections

Karnataka: Assembly elections, 2018

Karnataka: Assembly elections, 2023

Karnataka: caste, mutts and elections

Karnataka: Parliamentary elections

Karnataka: political history

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