Petroleum, diesel, kerosene, India: I

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[http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=Indian-crude-price-dives-to-lowest-level-in-09012016025038 ''The Times of India'']Jan 09 2016
 
[http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=Indian-crude-price-dives-to-lowest-level-in-09012016025038 ''The Times of India'']Jan 09 2016
 
[[File: crude oil.jpg|Average price of crude oil in India: Nov 2001-Jan 15, ii) Imports (2013- Jan 16) in terms of value and quantity; [http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=Indian-crude-price-dives-to-lowest-level-in-09012016025038 ''The Times of India'']Jan 09 2016|frame|500px]]  
 
[[File: crude oil.jpg|Average price of crude oil in India: Nov 2001-Jan 15, ii) Imports (2013- Jan 16) in terms of value and quantity; [http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=Indian-crude-price-dives-to-lowest-level-in-09012016025038 ''The Times of India'']Jan 09 2016|frame|500px]]  
 
  
 
TIMES NEWS NETWORK
 
TIMES NEWS NETWORK
  
It's yesterday once more! The price of crude bought by Indian refiners slumped to its lowest level in nearly 12 years, renewing hopes of continued reduced pump prices for consumers. It has also created room for government to raise fuel taxes to prop up the central kitty . However, it could also spark fresh worries of inventory losses for oil company bosses.
+
The price of crude bought by Indian refiners slumped to its lowest level in nearly 12 years, renewing hopes of continued reduced pump prices for consumers. It has also created room for government to raise fuel taxes to prop up the central kitty . However, it could also spark fresh worries of inventory losses for oil company bosses.
  
 
The mix of crude that India buys, called the `Indian basket', slumped after the European benchmark Brent slipped to its lowest in 13 years on worries over a slowdown in China, the second biggest oil consumer, amid oversupply .
 
The mix of crude that India buys, called the `Indian basket', slumped after the European benchmark Brent slipped to its lowest in 13 years on worries over a slowdown in China, the second biggest oil consumer, amid oversupply .

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Average November prices of Indian basket of crude oil, 2013-16; Value of India's oil import, 2013-16; Consumption levels and major sources of crude oil for India, 2013-16; Graphic courtesy: The Times of India, December 8, 2016
Petrol price change: 2013-14, The Times of India
Number of LPG connections as % of households, urban and rural as on November 1, 2015; Graphic courtesy: The Times of India, March 23, 2016
India, Pakistan and the world: price of petrol and ability to afford its purchase, 2015; Graphic courtesy: The Times of India
State and sale of petro products in 2014-15, state-wise; Graphic courtesy: The Times of India, October 27, 2015


Contents

Crude oil imports

From Nigeria

Nigeria says India now its largest crude importer

AFP | Jun 19, 2014

Oil-rich Nigeria said in June 2014 that India has replaced the United States as its largest crude importer, accounting for more than a quarter of its daily output.

"The US, which had traditionally taken the bulk of Nigeria's crude, has in recent months drastically reduced its demand, which now stands at about 250,000 barrels per day," the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) said in a statement.

"India, however, now purchases some 30% of Nigeria's daily crude production which currently hovers around 2.5 million barrels," it said, quoting senior official Tim Okon.

The state-run NNPC said after India, China and Malaysia were also ahead of the United States, and that Nigeria, which is Africa's largest oil producer, would supply to customers around the world.

Diesel consumption in India

2012-13

500px


Over 13% diesel consumed by high-end cars, SUVs in India, study says

PTI | Jan 28, 2014

NEW DELHI: Over 13 per cent of subsidized diesel in the country is consumed by high-end cars and SUVs, says a study commissioned by the oil ministry, showing that cheaper fuel is finding usage by unintended beneficiaries.

A study conducted by Nielsen for the ministry's Petroleum Planning and Analysis Cell (PPAC) found that private cars consumed 13.15 per cent of the 69.08 million tonne diesel consumed in the country in 2012-13.

Commercial vehicles used another 8.94 per cent and three-wheelers, a further 6.39 per cent.

Commercial vehicles such as trucks however constituted the largest user base of diesel at 28.25 per cent, the study said, adding that 70 per cent of the diesel was being used in the transport sector.

Agriculture tractors and pumps used 13 per cent of the diesel.

Industries and electricity generators consumed almost 9 per cent diesel, while mobile towers used 1.54 per cent.

The study found that 99.6 per cent of petrol is consumed in the transport sector alone.

"Of this, majority consumption of 61.42 per cent is accounted for by two-wheelers while cars use 34.33 per cent, followed by 3-wheelers at 2.34 per cent," an official statement said.

It was also revealed that in Odisha, Bihar and Rajasthan, petrol consumption by two-wheelers exceeds 70 per cent.

The consumption by three-wheelers is very low in states like Delhi, Haryana, Gujarat and Odisha, where consumers have shifted to CNG or diesel.

"While pricing of petrol was deregulated, diesel prices are still being regulated, with subsidy running at Rs 8.47 per litre currently," the statement said.

The total subsidy on diesel during 2012-13 was Rs 92,061 crore, constituting 57.2 per cent of the total fuel subsidy.

"The question as to where the Diesel is getting consumed is very relevant in this context," it said.

The statement added: "Based on sector-wise consumption pattern of diesel, it would mean that of the total under- recovery of Rs 92,061 crore on account of diesel during 2012- 13, about Rs 12,100 crore went to owners of private cars and utility vehicles, about Rs 8,200 crore to commercial cars and SUVs, about Rs 26,000 crore to trucks, about Rs 8,800 crore to buses, about Rs 12,000 crore to agriculture sector and about Rs 15,600 crore to other sectors."

Economy: India's oil economy

Imports: domestic production ratio

HOW DEAL WITH RUSSIA WILL CHANGE INDIA'S OIL ECONOMY Oct 18 2016 : The Times of India


Till the early 1990s, India used to produce over 70% of the oil it consumed. Now the share of domestic production is nearing 20%. Not only have imports surged, most of the oil is imported from only one region.The deal with Russia will make India's import basket more diversfied, a key requirement for oil security

See graphic

Kerosene

2011-12: Use of kerosene in Indian households

The Times of India, Aug 03 2015

State and percentage of households using kerosene, rural and urban; Graphic courtesy: The Times of India, Aug 03 2015

Mahendra Singh

`Kerosene hardly used for cooking, key lighting source'

The latest survey released by the National Sample Survey Organization (NSSO) has revealed that in rural areas, subsidized kerosene was used in less than 1% of kitchens, which relied largely on firewood and chips as the primary source of energy for cooking during 2011-12. After firewood (67% share), cooking gas cylinders have emerged as the second most preferred kitchen fuel in rural areas, with a share of 15%. In urban areas, of course, they now fire over 68% of the stoves, while the share of kerosene is estimated at 5.7%, lower than firewood (14%).

But when it comes to lighting homes in villages, the share of kerosene is estimated at 26.5%, with electricity's share estimated at 72.7%. In urban India, 3.2% of households uses kerosene for lighting while the share of electricity is 96%.

The data points to what several economists have argued for years: there is reduced dependence on kerosene despite the government doling out subsidized fuel, which is suspected to be used in large quantities for adulteration or finds its way into the open market, where there is no subsidy .

Currently , the government pays Rs 18.51 as subsidy for every litre of kerosene sold through the public distribution system. The underrecovery on the sale of kitchen fuel by the oil marketing companies added up to Rs 24,800 crore during the last financial year, with the government taking over around Rs 5,000 crore of the burden and forcing the state-run companies to bear the additional burden. But the findings of the NSSO survey showed wide divergence in fuel used across states such as Bihar and Uttar Pradesh still relying on dung cake and firewood to a large extent. The use of firewood and chips for cooking has declined, but slowly , over the years in rural India. It declined from 78.2% of all rural households in 1993-94 to 67.3% in 2011-12. LPG use in rural households has grown relatively fast, from fewer than 2% of rural households two decades ago to 15% in 2011-12. Cow-dung cake remained one of the major fuels for cooking for rural households in Ut tar Pradesh (33.4%) followed by Punjab (30.3%), Haryana (24%) and Bihar (20.8%).

Tamil Nadu had the highest use of LPG among rural households, with over a third using it for cooking, followed by Kerala and Punjab. The use of LPG was least in Chhattisgarh (1.5%) followed by Jharkhand (2.9%) and Odisha (3.9%).

When it comes to lighting, 73.5% of rural households in Bihar still use kerosene as primary source of energy for lighting, followed by Uttar Pradesh (58.5%) and Assam (36.8%).

Bihar also tops the chart when it comes to use of kerosene for lighting in urban areas with 17.2% of households still depending on kerosene.Followed by Bihar were Uttar Pradesh (10.8%), Assam (7.9%), Gujarat (5.2%) and West Bengal (5%).

The use of electricity was the highest in rural Andhra Pradesh, Punjab, Tamil Nadu and Kerala, where nearly all rural households used electricity to light their homes. In contrast, just 25.8% of rural Bihar and 40.4% of rural Uttar Pradesh households had electricity .

Natural gas (CNG, PNG)

City gas operators profiteer due to monopoly

Sanjay Dutta, City gas operators making windfall due to monopoly?, March 3, 2017: The Times of India

Cos Earn Even More Than Gas Producers

Are gas sellers making more than their fair share for CNG and PNG in the absence of competition in the market and differential regulatory frameworks? A look at the per unit realisation of two of the largest city gas distribution companies, Indraprastha Gas Ltd in Delhi and Mahanagar Gas Ltd in Mumbai, appears to suggest so. According to a report by Kotak Institutional Equities, monopoly situation and differential regulatory frame works allows city gas distribution firms to earn more than gas producers such as state-run ONGC and Oil India Ltd, who have to sink billions of dollars in risk capital for discovering and developing fields. Kotak Equities is a division of institutional brokers Kotak Securities.

Profitability of IGL and MGL has gone up over the past few quarters as they have been able to retain the benefits of the decline in price of domestic gas and “earn quite high RoAE (return on average equity) as their business es are not regulated,“ the Kotak report said. Other industry analysts said while the regulator allows a return of 12% on investments made by city gas distribution networks, their earning ranges between 18-20%. In contrast, AGLSouthern Company of the US earns 11.68% and UK's Centrica makes 12.9% on capital employed.

One of the main reasons for the high profitability of city gas distribution business is the monopoly situation. Both IGL and MGL do not have competition, nor do other firms where city gas projects are running. Norms allow market exclusivity for three years to a company that existed before the PNGRB Act came into being.In new projects, which are bid out, companies are given exclusivity for five years.

LPG (liquefied petroleum gas)

India 2nd-biggest LPG user

Sanjay Dutta, At 19m tonnes|yr, India 2nd-largest LPG user in world, Feb 7, 2017: The Times of India

yr, India 2nd-largest LPG user in world, Feb 7, 2017: The Times of India

India has become the second-largest domestic LPG (liquefied petroleum gas) consumer in the world due to the Central government's rapid rollout of clean fuel plan for poor households and fuel subsidy reforms.

LPG consumption by households has reached 19 million tonnes, registering an annual growth rate of 10%.Consumption is expected to rise 20 million tonnes, backed by expanding consumer base in urban areas and rapid rollout of the `Ujjwala' scheme for providing LPG connections free of cost to five crore poor households by 2019.

The Ujjwala scheme has turned India into an example for energy experts from other emerging economies still struggling to provide clean fuel to their rural folks. No wonder the World LPG Association (WLPGA) -so far focused on developed economies -has chosen to hold its Asia summit in Delhi.

Barely nine months after being launched by the PM in May 2016, the scheme has covered 1.6 crore poor households, topping the target set for the entire 2016-17 financial year on the back of a massive rural outreach push. “It simply beats me how they achieved this,“ WLPGA Yagiz Eyuboglu told a curtain-raiser session on Monday in a compliment to oil minister Dharmendra Pradhan.

“When we assumed office, we had a system of misdirected subsidies, rich and uppermiddle class were entitled to LPG subsidies. There were many duplicate connections and the subsidized LPG was diverted to commercial and industrial segments. As a result poorest of the poor never had access to LPG. In 2014, almost half of Indian households didn't have LPG connections. We decided to change the LPG landscape in India,“ Pradhan said, giving an insight into the government's thinking behind the reforms.

Pradhan said reforms in the subsidy mechanism -elimination of ghost consumers and direct subsidy transfer -saved an estimated Rs 21,000 crore, or $3.2 billion, in the two years of the Modi government. During this time, he said, Rs 40,000 crore, or $6.5 billion, in subsidy has been transferred directly to bank accounts of consumers.

Direct benefit transfer: 2015, ‘16

Govt transfers Rs 40k cr to a|cs of LPG users, Feb 8, 2017: The Times of India


The government has transferred Rs 40,000 crore, or $6.5 billion, into bank accounts of household LPG consumers in the two years since it refreshed the cooking gas subsidy regime to plug leakages, according to oil minister Dharmendra Pradhan.

The weeding out of some 3.3 crore (33 million) ghost accounts as part of the reform process resulted in savings of Rs 21,000 crore, or $3.2 billion, in subsidy payout, which has helped the government to spend more on social sector projects and bring clean fuel to poor households.

As a pointer to the success of the reforms in the direct benefit transfer scheme for LPG ­ DBTL, which is now known as PaHAL, Pradhan told the Asia LPG Summit curtain-raiser on Monday that sale of commercial LPG cylinders jumped nearly 40% in 2015-16 against a near-stagnant growth earlier.

Commercial cylinders are sold at market rate and used by shops and establishments such as hotels, restaurants and neighbourhood sweetmeat shops etc. Before the government took up the reforms, subsidised domestic cylinders were being diverted for commercial use. The government currently transfers Rs 184. 29 per cylinder as subsidy .

“Nearly 6.3 million new LPG connections have been released to poor families in 2015-16... We have set a target to provide 50 million LPG connections over a period of three years to poor households, with a budgetary support of Rs 8,000 crore,“ he said, adding that the 15 million target for 2016-17 was achieved in less than eight months.

“I am confident that we will exceed this target. We have already increased the national LPG coverage to 70 per cent and we may even reach 85 per cent in 2 years,“ he added.

The Modi government initiated a combination of steps to improve the subsidy delivery mechanism, beginning with elimination of bogus connections through an intensive customer verification drive.

Pradhan said DBTL was launched in 2014 wherein subsidy was directly paid into the bank accounts of the beneficiaries. “This made the process transparent and plugged the subsidy leakages which were otherwise being misused through ghost accounts.“

Prices

Changes in the prices of oil, petroleum, diesel, natural gas

2002-16

See graphic: The difference between the prices of diesel and petrol, 2002-16

The difference between the prices of diesel and petrol, 2002-16; Graphic courtesy: The Times of India, May 26, 2016
Percentage share of diesel vehicles in total sales, 2009-16; Graphic courtesy: The Times of India, May 26, 2016

2006–2014

The Times of India

Change in petrol, diesel, crude oil prices: 2006–2014

2013-16

See graphic

Average November prices of Indian basket of crude oil, Value of India's import and consumption, 2013-16; The Times of India, December 8, 2016


2015

2015: the prices of petrol and diesel in the major cities of India, indicating where it is the most and where the least expensive

Mar 26 2015

The basic price of petrol and the excise duty levied by the central government is uniform across the country. The final retail prices, however, vary from state to state depending on the state-level VAT, sales tax, local freight, delivery charges and so on. A comparison of 33 markets in different states shows that petrol is cheapest in Port Blair where it costs Rs 54.1 a litre, about 14 rupees cheaper than in Hyderabad where the rate is highest. Port Blair again has the cheapest diesel, with prices there 10 rupees lower than in Mumbai, which has the most expensive diesel in the country.

2016: crude price lowest in 12 years

The retail price of India, compared with other countries, in 2016; The Times of India, May 7, 2017

The Times of IndiaJan 09 2016

Average price of crude oil in India: Nov 2001-Jan 15, ii) Imports (2013- Jan 16) in terms of value and quantity; The Times of IndiaJan 09 2016

TIMES NEWS NETWORK

The price of crude bought by Indian refiners slumped to its lowest level in nearly 12 years, renewing hopes of continued reduced pump prices for consumers. It has also created room for government to raise fuel taxes to prop up the central kitty . However, it could also spark fresh worries of inventory losses for oil company bosses.

The mix of crude that India buys, called the `Indian basket', slumped after the European benchmark Brent slipped to its lowest in 13 years on worries over a slowdown in China, the second biggest oil consumer, amid oversupply .

For India, which imports 80% of its crude requirement, the happy hour also carries a statutory warning over currency and export woes.

The upside of low oil prices comes from forex savings on crude import. The savings are estimated at Rs 2 lakh crore this year. Latest data projects a 35% drop in the oil import bill at $73 billion against $112 billion last year, for nearly the same quantity . This is in addition to reduced subsidy for cooking fuels.

To put the savings in per spective, it would be enough to cover the Centre's school education, health, women and child development budgets, and pay for the rural jobs scheme. The government may also utilize this window to mop up additional resour ces by going for another round of excise hike on fuels. Signs of stability in global markets helped the domestic equities break a four-session losing streak but failed to stop the BSE sensex from logging its worst weekly performance since November 2011.

The benchmark BSE sensex rose by 82.5 points to recover from 19-month lows on Friday but on a weekly basis tumbled by 1,226.6 points or 4.7% on concerns over the health of Chinese economy and geopolitical tensions between Saudi Arabia and Iran.

See also

Petroleum, diesel, natural gas, India: I

Petroleum, diesel, natural gas, India, II (ministry data)

...and also

Automobile industry: India

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